The BIG Problem: If NO CV19 Surges in Opening States, Then What?
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Excerpt: But we are now confronted by a critical question, one that is the most consequential of all in the debate about our national pandemic response, which few dare to ask. For the record, we heard a lot about "flattening the curve" during the initial stages of the pandemic, and to that end we can say both the infection and economy were flattened. But the unspoken reason for the disastrous partial economic shutdown over the last two months was to protect the nation's most vulnerable citizens from the "idiot factor" — those of all ages who would not abide by the basic CDC guidelines to help contain the contagion. Had governors been confident that the idiots among us would follow the CDC guidelines — especially people in densely populated urban areas — the guidelines alone would have provided adequate protection, and far less damaging economic and social restrictions would have been required. That notwithstanding, here's the question: After tens of millions of Americans have lost their jobs, hundreds of thousands of businesses have closed (many forever), and Congress has saddled future generations with another $3 trillion in debt (and counting), what if there are not significant increases of CV19 infections and deaths as states reopen economies? [Alexander asks some interesting questions and offers some disquieting answers. Ron P.]