It doesn't matter who
you vote for in November
I wrote the below in response to an email about the national
debt, and decided to post it on my blog. While there, I checked my stats. Just
before I gave up aggregating the news a few week ago, I was getting about 4k
page views a week. I was startled to see today that in the last week I had 7k
page views, including over 1k from France . I assume that my post, below,
"22 Reason Principled Conservative Can Never Vote for Donald Trump"
is making the rounds. But if you look at the fiscal situation of the country,
it probably makes no difference who you vote for. And this is the issue that
will destroy the Republic, though the Jihadists, China and illegal immigration will
heavily contribute to our fiscal woes. Who uses what bathroom, though
emotional, will make no difference long run.
The acknowledged Federal Debt, now I think north of $19T, is
the small part of the fiscal problem. The big part is the unfunded liability,
money the government has promised to spend for things like Social Security,
Medicare, Medicaid, SS Disability, and now Obamacare, that it does not have in
the bank. This is not considered debt because, though promised, it is not owed
by contract and the government can legally default on these items, creating chaos
and social upheaval. (The Social Security Trust Fund is not cash, but special
government bonds, which cannot be sold on the open market. The government
borrowed the cash.) Social Security, now as always, is paid out from the FICA
taxes taken in. When the income doesn't cover the outgo, the money to redeem
the bonds must come from the general fund. When SS started, and folks didn't
live as long; 38 workers supported one retiree. Now, with increased longevity
and the expansion of benefits, 2.5 workers support one retiree. The average
retiree now gets back much more than he or she paid in. You can graph the day
not far in the future when it will be one worker supporting one retiree. I have
seen estimates of the unfunded liability that run from $87T to $240T, depending
on who counts, what is counted and how far out you project. Add to that the
debt and unfunded liability of the states and cities, and there are not enough
trees to print that much money. It is difficult for me to see how a fiscal and
economic collapse, followed by social and political collapse, can be avoided.
When governments can't meet their obligations, they always turn to printing
fiat money, destroying the value of savings and retirement funds through
hyper-inflation. Which is why I recently bought a billion dollars in Zimbabwe
currency for about $8 bucks on eBay. And why it doesn't matter at all which corrupt,
big-government, NY liberal you vote for in November. And why electing a true
fiscal conservative could have only slowed the drive towards the cliff, not
reversed it. I suggest everyone read this article, "The West and the Tyranny of Public Debt"
I addressed this problem in my short book a few years back: The
Coming Collapse of the American
Republic : And what you
can do to prevent it. http://www.amazon.com/Coming-Collapse-American-Republic-prevent/dp/1461122538/ref=sr_1_5?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1304815980&sr=1-5
All
royalties go to a charity to help wounded veterans. For a free PDF of this
80-page book you can read on your computer, write me at:
tartanmarine(at)gmail.com. Forget gold--invest in canned goods and ammo. ~Bob
Hall
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